FORUM SURVEY: Conservatives Lead Liberals By 2 Points

Forum Research says lower levels of Liberal support appear to be a trend.

A new Forum Research survey shows the Conservative Party led by Andrew Scheer leads the Trudeau Liberals by two points.

Here are the numbers:

  • Conservatives – 38%
  • Liberals – 36%
  • NDP – 14%
  • Greens – 6%
  • Bloc – 6%

The numbers are similar to the last federal Forum Research poll conducted in September, with all parties moving within the margin of error. As a result, Forum says the lower levels of Liberal support and close overall numbers appear to be a trend.

Despite the small Conservative lead however, Forum predicts that the Liberals would hold on to a minority government if those numbers repeated on election day. The Liberals would be projected to win 164 seats, the Conservatives 148, and the NDP just 15.

The poll shows the Conservatives leading in Ontario (by 1 point), Manitoba/Saskatchewan, Alberta, and BC.

The Liberals lead in Atlantic Canada and Quebec. Their Quebec lead (42% to 22% for the Bloc in second place) means the Liberals would win almost all of Quebec’s seats, another reason for the Conservatives to support Bill 62 and get onside with a policy that the majority of Quebeckers, and Canadians across the country support.

Big government elitism takes its toll

While the Liberals are still showing similar support levels to the 2015 election, there is growing evidence that the Moneybags Morneau ethics issues, and the Paradise Papers (which have yet to extract their full political price) are setting a ceiling on Liberal support, and giving new life to the opposition.

Trudeau campaigned as someone who would look out for the middle class, but he’s only looked out for those who already have immense wealth and power. Combined with his higher taxes, increased bureaucracy, and out-of-touch attitude, the Conservatives have an opportunity.

That said, the establishment media will certainly turn harshly against Andrew Scheer as the election gets closer, and the Trudeau government propaganda machine will spit out lies and manipulation at a record pace. Also, this is just one poll, and others show the Trudeau Liberals still leading.

As a result, the Conservatives, and all Canadians who want to see Trudeau defeated, can’t remain complacent and just hope for the best. The government must be repeatedly held accountable and exposed for their deceptions and damage to the country, and the pressure must not let up, not even for a minute.

There’s still a long way to go until election day.

Spencer Fernando

Photos – Twitter

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