POLL: Amid Infighting, Ontario PCs Retain Big Lead Over Liberals

Ipsos poll shows that all top PC leadership contenders would defeat the Wynne Liberals.

Despite continued controversy and party in-fighting, the Ontario PCs still retain a strong lead over the Liberals according to a new Ipsos poll.

The poll shows the PCs leading with 38%, while the Liberals have 29%, the NDP have 26%, and 18% are undecided.

The PCs also lead in the GTA, with 26%, ahead of the the NDP (17%) and Liberals (16%).

All potential leaders and current leaders have relatively low approval ratings. Kathleen Wynne is approved of by just 16%, while Patrick Brown has an approval rating of 18%.

However, the other PC candidates don’t fare much better, with all clustered around 22% approval.

NDP leader Andrea Horwath has an approval rating of 30%, though the NDP has had trouble translating that into actual votes.

Ontario Liberals lose hypothetical matchup to each top PC leadership contender

If the Liberals were hoping that the chaos engulfing the Ontario PCs would give them more support, this latest poll shows that’s not happening.

Under Patrick Brown, the PCs get 40% of the vote, compared to the Liberals at 24%, and the NDP at 27%.

Meanwhile, the PCs win 39% of the vote under Doug Ford, 38% under Caroline Mulroney, and 37% under Christine Elliott.

The Ipsos poll did not include Tanya Granic Allen.

In all scenarios, the PCs easily beat both the Liberals and NDP.

This shows that the anger towards the Ontario Liberals remains strong, with many voters motivated to defeat Kathleen Wynne regardless of what’s happening with the Ontario PCs.

It also shows that Ontario PC members should feel free to vote for a truly Conservative choice. After all, despite the elites saying that someone like Doug Ford is ‘unelectable,’ this latest poll shows him getting more support than both Elliott and Mulroney.

Spencer Fernando

Photo – YouTube

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Diana Barron

I love it and can’t wait to wave bye-bye to Wynne and the Libs in Ontario.




I am really hoping for Ford I think he can handle the underhanded Liberal bashing machine the best it will be horrible for anyone who gets elected next would be Elliott she seems to keep her cool and she is very smart and we will need someone to sort out all the huge financial mess the Liberals made for us all, I just do not know if she can take the bashing the Liberals hand out. But both of these candidates are real Canadian Ontario Conservatives to be there for the people, I really hope so, or we are finished.

Norbert Kausen

Good!! The liberals should do so badly that they lose party status!


With these voter statistics, an unfortunate reality is that Ontario could very well end up with a ‘coalition’ (as in BC) with the Liberals and NDP. Both entities will do almost anything to avoid having a Conservative Ontario government. This arrangement would also be strongly backed by the Federal Liberals.


I only pray that Canadian’s have gotten wise to these elite Liberals. They are crooks and liars and traitors to their country. I believe Doug Ford is the man for the job and he will do well for all Canadian’s. Please support Doug Ford

Jodi R.

IMHO it’s not a true poll unless all the candidates are included on it. Why wasn’t Tanya Granic Allen included? Probably for the same reason that other social conservative candidates, like Pierre Lemieux and Brad Trost, were left off telephone polls that I participated in during the CPC Leadership Race in 2017, and why they received very little positive media coverage. The “progressive” left (and even conservative) media want social conservatives to go away and so they are treated like they don’t exist — out of sight out of mind. The attitude is don’t give the so-cons any face or… Read more »