FORUM POLL: Ontario PCs Retake Lead, NDP Plunges, Liberals Rise

NDP support has fallen dramatically since the last Forum Poll which showed them poised for a majority government.

A new poll by Forum Research – who had shocked many with their previous poll showing an NDP majority in Ontario – shows NDP support falling dramatically, with the PCs retaking the lead and the Liberals rising following the final leaders debate.

Here are the key numbers:

PCs 39%, NDP 35%, Liberals 19%

Compared to the previous Forum Poll, the PCs have gained 6 points, the NDP has lost 12 points, and the Liberals have gained 5 points.

The two main takeaways are that the previous poll by Forum was likely a ‘rogue poll’ that showed unrealistic numbers, and also that whatever temporary gain the NDP may have had in that sampling period is now gone as voters really consider the danger of electing the socialists.

Notably, the sample size for this Forum Poll was 2602 people, far larger than the 906 sampled in the previous poll that showed the NDP leading.

Forum says that under these results, the PCs would win 77 seats, the NDP would win 41 seats, and the Liberals would win 6.

Horwath’s net approval rating falls

Considering that the Ontario NDP rarely get much scrutiny, it is no surprise that Andrea Horwath has the most positive net approval rating. However, as people hear more about her, that rating is falling fast.

The previous Forum poll had shown 43% approving of Horwath, with 26% disapproving. But now, her approval rating is down to 40%, while her disapproval rating has increased to 32%.

Both Ford and Wynne have more negative ratings, which makes sense considering that the PCs and Liberals have been attacking each other for some time. Ford’s net approval rating is -23, while Wynne’s net approval rating is a staggering -42.

Still a close race

This latest Forum Poll is more in line with other polls showing a close race. It seems that more people are starting to reconsider whether the socialist NDP can be trusted with power. Still, it is a very close race, and nothing can be taken for granted at this point. To stop a socialist win or Liberal recovery, the people need to get out and vote.

Read the full Forum Poll here.

Spencer Fernando

Photo – YouTube

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Norbert Kausen

What I find funny is that I have received several phone calls from different polls and the moment I told them my age, they did NOT want to talk to me, as if my age disqualified me from making informed decisions. I am 64, a retired veteran with many years of experience in various different areas in life. I was a senior intelligence analyst and operator in the army! But they don’t want to talk to me, because of my age… is that not ageism???


That’s intriguing. The pollster is attempting to get a cross section of age groups into its data collection. it could well be they had enough of your age group already. Is Forum even credible? In a way I’m glad their first poll woke up the nation. We may have been complacent to the threat posed by the NDP radicals. Ontario is not out of the woods yet. The shady George Soros factor still lurks in support of a socialist, globalist Canada with open borders where he can herd the slaves into our vast landscape of ghettos and camps. That’s what… Read more »

Shawn Harris

All Ontarians need to remember one thing, all socialists, Liberal, NDP and others all have the same basic belief; that capitalism and those who support it are the root of all of society’s problems. Socialism needs a villain for it’s philosophy to work. It has to have taxes to provide for every promise they make. Because socialism can never produce wealth, jobs or prosperity. Whereas capitalism, creates wealth through private investors and businesses. And that in turn creates jobs for everyone. And ultimately it creates a stable taxbase for the government to have a steady stream of revenue to provide… Read more »

Mark Bailey

Two thumbs up Shawn. You nailed it.


Your comment explains why they downplay history and teach faulty math in our liberal-progressive school system.

Elizabeth Thorne

Yes Shawn, You are right and I hope all people in Ontario realize the NDP and the Liberal have no problem making Ontario a sanctuary province, if people think we have hospital waits now just wait if the NDP get in. I would also like mention, although it was a federal vote, All the NDP and all the Liberals supported M-103, a motion that I believe was introduced to curtail free speech in Canada.

Elizabeth Thorne

The NDP and Liberals have no problem with making Ontario a sanctuary province, just ask NDP candidate Joel Harden “We want to make Ontario a sanctuary province. I’m proud that Andrea Horwath has led this charge in the face of terrible, misogyny, anti-immigration and white supremacists intolerance, especially online. This is a far-right backlash and it won’t work: we won’t budge on this issue. Would this crazy move help shorten hospital waits?