Republicans May Gain Midterm Advantage From Strong US Jobs Report

The unemployment rate in the US has fallen to 3.8%

While polls a few weeks ago had shown the Democrats poised to pick up tons of seats in the upcoming US midterm election, recent surveys have shown a much tighter race.

The Real Clear Politics generic congressional vote polling average shows the Democrats with a 3.2% lead, down from a 7% point lead in March.

Considering that the Democrats likely need to win the popular vote by 5 points in order to get the most seats, the recent narrowing of the polls puts the Republicans in a solid position.

Now, the recent US jobs report could boost the Republicans even further.

The US economy added 223,000 jobs in the month of May, and the unemployment rate dropped to 3.8%. According to The Hill, “Economists such as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell think the rate could drop as low as 3.5 percent. That would be lowest unemployment rate in more than 45 years.”

Because the Democrats so strongly opposed the Trump Tax Cuts – which many credit for boosting the economy – stronger economic numbers present a big political problem for the Democratic Party’s midterm hopes.

The direction of the economy is also helping the Republicans, since they can realistically point to improving economic conditions on their watch, while the Democrats often look like obstructionists.

A potential trouble-spot for Republicans however could be the rising risk of a trade war between the US and top allies. That said, the US economy is far more reliant on internal trade between states than on external trade, and strong domestic demand can mitigate much – but not all – of the disruption from international trade disputes.

Spencer Fernando

Photo – YouTube

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Nancy

I think many in the US have realized, how bad Democrats (liberals) lie and take from regular people, when it is some of the Republicans (Conservatives) that are trying to keep a strong free country, with good work and competitive around the world giving the people a chance to build their lives. Socialists (Democrats) are afraid of regular people having anything, so make false irrational promises that weaken the general population, taking away their rights gradually, while making themselves richer and more powerful.

louis joannette

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Ed R Peebles

MAYBE TRUMP NEEDS FREE TRADE MORE THAN HE THOUGHT ?

ED P.

Jen

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