The NDP remains far back in third place.
A new Ipsos poll reported on by Global News shows the Conservatives with a narrow lead over the Liberals as the parties begin preparing for 2019.
According to the poll, the Conservatives have 37%, the Liberals have 33%, and the NDP are far back with 21%.
The poll comes in the wake of a big Conservative by-election win in Quebec, and the decimation of the Ontario Liberal Party.
Apart from the top-line numbers, the poll shows that Trudeau’s approval rating is at 55%. However, the gap between those saying they approve of Trudeau and those saying they will vote for his party points to the likelihood that people are expressing their support as a ‘rally around the flag’ effect during the trade war with the US, rather than supporting Trudeau’s policies.
In vote-rich Ontario, the Conservatives lead with 35%, while the Liberals are at 33% and the NDP are at 26%.
The overall numbers are more bad news for the NDP, who have collapsed in Quebec and are not leading in any province or territory. While Jagmeet Singh would be hoping to get gain support in Ontario to make up for lost support in Quebec, he appears unable to reach the same level of support garnered by Ontario NDP leader Andrea Horwath in the provincial election.
Conservatives still face challenges
While the Conservatives are well positioned as an election year draws closer, they still face significant challenges – particularly the inevitable onslaught from the elitist media in defence of Trudeau. In fact, it seems that onslaught has already started, with the media regularly criticizing the way the Conservatives are holding the Trudeau government accountable, in some cases making almost the exact same arguments as the Liberals.
Additionally, the increasingly authoritarian Trudeau government is seeking to silence dissenting voices and exert control over social media, and they won’t hesitate to reduce the freedom of Canadians to stay in power. In order to overcome the Liberal-media axis, the Conservatives will need to be tough, relentless, and willing to truly represent the will of the people, rather than be beholden to political correctness.
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