Three-way split possible.
It looks like it could be a three-way split among the main parties in the three by-elections.
The Conservatives look set for a decisive win in York-Simcoe, which is usually a Conservative stronghold.
Scot Davidson is winning around 50% of the vote for the Conservatives in that riding, far ahead of the second place Liberal candidate.
In Outrement, the riding formerly held by Tom Mulcair, Liberal candidate Rachel Bendayan is over 40% of the vote, close to double the NDP total.
And in Burnaby-South, where NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh is seeking a victory to revive his moribund leadership, early results have him in first place, with a modest lead over Liberal candidate Richard Lee.
Notably, the People’s Party appears to be winning about half as many votes as the Conservatives, not nearly enough to contend for the seat, but enough to revive concerns of potential vote-splitting on the right side of the political spectrum.