NANOS POLL: Conservatives Maintain Lead

Liberal support on downward trend.

The latest Nanos weekly tracking poll shows the Conservatives maintaining a lead over the Liberals.

The poll also shows the Liberals on a steady downward trend since their 2015 victory, with rare spikes in support in what is otherwise a clear move towards lower and lower numbers.

Additionally, the Conservatives have been gaining support until levelling off around the 33-35% mark, while the NDP is stuck below 20% and the Greens are rising steadily.

Here are the latest numbers:

Conservatives – 34%

Liberals – 30%

NDP – 16%

Greens – 12%

Bloc – 4%

Peoples – 1%

When it comes to accessible voters, 44% say they would consider voting Conservative, while 43% say they would not. The numbers for the Liberals are similar, with 44% saying they would consider voting Liberal and 44% saying they would not.

The NDP is in worse position, with 39% saying they would consider voting NDP, while 45% say they would not. For the Greens, 36% would consider it, and 49% would not.

The People’s Party fares worst of all in that regard, with 8% saying they would consider voting for them, and 66% saying they would not.

On the question of preferred Prime Minister, Scheer and Trudeau are tied at 27%. Scheer has been on a relatively steady climb on that question, while Trudeau has been on a whoppingly large fall. Back in mid 2016, nearly 55% of Canadians saw Trudeau as the best pick for Prime Minister, so for him to be down at 27% shows the immense amount of disillusionment people feel towards him. As I’ve often said, the more people see Trudeau in action, the less they support him.

Jagmeet Singh’s struggles continue, as he is failing to resonate with the Canadian public. Just 9% pick him as their preferred PM pick, meaning he trails even Elizabeth May on that question. 10% pick her as their PM choice.

Way back is Bernier, with just 2% picking him as their preferred PM pick.

People are also losing faith in Trudeau’s ‘qualities of a good leader’ in the poll. 40% say he does have the qualities of a leader, while 46% say he doesn’t. That 46% saying he doesn’t is the highest number on that question found in the Nanos tracking poll.

37% say Scheer has the qualities of a good leader, compared to 31% who say he doesn’t.

29% give Singh a positive score on that question, while 33% say he doesn’t have leader qualities.

Elizabeth May’s numbers are strong on that question, with 40% saying she has the qualities of a good leader, while 28% say she doesn’t.

16% say Bernier has the qualities of a good leader, compared to 40% who say he doesn’t.

Finally, the Nanos Party Power Index – which is combination of voter support, voter consider support, and leader numbers, puts the Conservatives at 51, the Liberals at 48, the NDP at 41, the Greens at 40, and the People’s Party at 26.

Spencer Fernando

Photo – YouTube