Seat projection is almost tied.
A new Forum Research poll shows the Conservatives with a small popular vote lead over the Liberals nationwide.
However, the Conservative vote appears to be less efficient – at least in this poll – resulting in a seat projection that is nearly tied.
Here are the key numbers:
Conservatives – 34%, Liberals – 31%, Greens – 12%, NDP – 12%, Bloc – 5%, Peoples – 5%, Other – 3%
Seat projection:
Conservatives – 152, Liberals – 150, NDP – 22, Bloc – 11, Greens – 3
Here are the regional breakdowns:
BC: Conservatives – 38%, Liberals 23%
Alberta: Conservatives 62%, Liberals 16%
Manitoba/Saskatchewan: Conservatives 35%, Liberals 25%
Ontario: Liberals – 36%, Conservatives – 31%
Quebec – Liberals – 34%, Conservatives – 23%
Atlantic – Liberals 34%, Conservatives 30%
This poll matches the recent trend of Liberal support slowly increasing, while Conservative support is either stagnant or slowly declining.
While Justin Trudeau remains very unpopular, Andrew Scheer is struggling to boost his own numbers, in the face of an anti-Conservative demonization campaign increasingly being pushed by the federal Liberals and their establishment media enablers.
Spencer Fernando
