Angus Reid Poll: Conservatives Hold Small Lead Over Liberals As Main Parties Weaken, NDP Rises

Uncertainty continues to grow as Election Day nears.

A new Angus Reid poll conducted following the English language leaders debate shows the Conservative with a narrow lead over the Liberals, with uncertainty growing as Election Day draws closer and closer.

The Conservatives have 34% nationwide, compared to the Liberals at 29%. The Conservatives are down 3% since the last Angus Reid poll, while the Liberals are down 1%.

The NDP is up 3% to 17%, while the Greens are at 7%.

The Bloc is at 7%, while the PPC is at 3%.

Here are the regional breakdowns:

BC – Conservatives 36%, Liberals 23%, NDP 22%, Greens 15%, PPC 3%

Alberta – Conservatives 59%, Liberals 16%, NDP 15%, Greens 5%, PPC 5%

Saskatchewan/Manitoba – Conservatives 49%, Liberals 23%, NDP 21%, Greens 4%, PPC 2%

Ontario – Conservatives 36%, Liberals 33%, NDP 19%, Greens 8%, PPC 3%

Quebec – Bloc 31%, Liberals 30%, Conservatives 15%, NDP 12%, Greens 8%, PPC 4%

Atlantic – Liberals 35%, Conservatives 32%, NDP 16%, Greens 15%, PPC 2%

Since the debate, Jagmeet Singh’s favourability numbers have surged, while Scheer and Trudeau remain unpopular.

59% have a favourable view of Singh, compared to 35% who have an unfavourable view. Meanwhile, 38% have a favourable view of Scheer, compared to 58% who view him unfavourably. Trudeau’s numbers are worse, with 35% viewing him favourably and 63% viewing him unfavourably.

In Quebec, 52% have a favourable view of Bloc Leader Yves-Francois Blanchet.

Elizabeth May’s favourable numbers have weakened since the start of the campaign, with 44% viewing her favourably, while 48% view her unfavourably.

Maxime Bernier has the worst numbers, with 15% viewing him favourably, compared to 74% who view him unfavourably.

The survey shows that the Liberal attacks on Scheer have worked, with Scheer’s favourably rating down 6 points from when the campaign began.

Trudeau’s ratings have fallen by 1 point.

Singh’s ratings are up by 20 points.

It seems that the Conservatives and Liberals have been successful in making eachother deeply unpopular, but the benefit is now going to the NDP and Bloc.

Overall, uncertainty is the growing reality in this election. The possibility for post-election chaos and national division is being sown as no party appears on track for a majority government.

Will things change in the next week and a half?

Stay tuned…

Spencer Fernando

Photo – YouTube