Survey: Erin O’Toole’s Approval Ratings Worsen

Nearly half the country views O’Toole unfavourably according to a new Angus Reid poll.

In the 2019 election, the Angus Reid poll was quite accurate.

The poll is also seen as unbiased, giving results that are often good for the Conservatives when the political climate seems to indicate that, while showing the Liberals in a strong position when that would make sense.

I say this since polling has understandably hemorrhaged credibility as of late, but the Angus Reid poll is still quite credible.

And that’s not good news for Erin O’Toole.

In the wake of a desperate campaign to try and buy into the narratives pushed by the Liberal Party, which culminated in the expulsion of Derek Sloan from the CPC under an obviously cynical pretext, the Conservative leader has seen his image worsen according to the latest Angus Reid poll.

The survey was conducted from January 20th, to January 24th. Sloan was removed on the 20th. And in the week up to that, the Conservatives had been clearly buying into Liberal-messaging, with O’Toole rapidly shifting from ‘true blue’ to ‘centrist & moderate.’

So, what are the results?

Erin O’Toole is the most unpopular federal leader.

32% have a favourable view of him, compared to 47% who have an unfavourable view.

Since the last Angus Reid poll in November of 2020, O’Toole’s favourable ratings are down 4 points, while his unfavourable ratings are up 5 points.

More concerning for the Conservatives is that in September of 2020, 30% had a favourable view, while 31% had an unfavourable view, so the more Canadians are seeing of O’Toole most people forming a view on him for the first time have a negative view, with very few people forming new positive opinions of him.

Also of concern for the Conservatives is that just 6% view O’Toole ‘very favourably,’ while 23% view him ‘very unfavourably,’ so intense opinions are more on the negative side.

O’Toole has the worst net favourability rating at -15. Jagmeet Singh is at +8, Yves-Francois Blanchet is at +5, and Annamie Paul is at -1.

Justin Trudeau is at +2, with 50% approving of him and 48% disapproving.

O’Toole has problems within Conservative Party

As many people predicted, O’Toole’s removal of Derek Sloan (and particularly the way it was done), could cause him problems within the Conservative Party, and the polls show him with by far the weakest internal support compared to other party leaders.

63% of those who voted Conservative in the last election approve of O’Toole, while 23% have a negative view. 14% still don’t know.

For O’Toole to have less than 2/3rds approval among CPC voters at this point is a big issue for him.

By contrast, 89% of NDP voters and 83% of Bloc voters support their respective party leaders. Even new Green leader Annamie Paul has 65% support among past Green voters.

And among Liberal voters, 85% approve of Trudeau, compared to 13% who don’t.

O’Toole less popular than Scheer

Erin O’Toole is also less popular than Andrew Scheer was at the same point. Scheer had the approval of 35% of Canadians at this point in his leadership, while 36% disapproved.

By contrast, Erin O’Toole is both less popular at 32% approval, while many more disapprove, with 47% having a negative view.

If this continues, then it may be the case that O’Toole’s rapid attempt to shift from ‘true blue’ to the same kind of ‘liberal-lite’ he accused Peter MacKay of planning during the leadership race will serve only to alienate Conservatives, while failing to win over any new voters.

Spencer Fernando

Photo – YouTube

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Ann

I have been totally disgusted with O’Toole’s expulsion of Derek Sloan from the Conservative Caucus. If Erin doesn’t backtrack on this move and admits to Conservatives that he made a grave mistake, Conservatives will be losing many seats! People do make mistakes, and he should admit that he made a BIG Mistake! The Majority of Conservatives, except Erin O’Toole and his “RINOs”, Love Derek Sloan!!

Doug

O’Toole, you must resign.

I will never be a card-carrying member of the Conservative Party unless O’Toole resigns, or Derek Sloan is restated.

Allan Wood

Unfortunately with Eric O’toole he is no leader. I’m afraid if Trudeau calls his a speculated spring election, the socialist/communist liberals and NDP will have power again. I’ll vote conservative but don’t hold much hope. If the party really wants to “flip” this, dump O’toole and draft Pierre Poilievre!

Bridgette

Max Bernier the PEOPLE’S PARTY IS OUR ONLY HOPE.

Ann

I was truly hoping that Pierre Poilievre would run in the Leadership Race! He would definitely have won, no question! If Pierre would have run and he would have definitely won the Leadership, Liberals would NEVER, Ever win another Election.

RDP

You want Trudeau gone, you need someone in the Eastern or Atlantic time zones. Someone that can beat him at his own game. Someone they don’t know exists.

MacKay is that opponent.

Bridgette

Best to vote for Max Bernier the people’s party. The rest are all the same.

Rachael

I have been emailing my MP, saying this exact this. If they don’t start speaking out against lockdown harms, small biz loosing everything and our fundamental freedoms being taken from us, that they will hand Justin a majority. I speculated they are loosing 25% of Conservative voters but 23% is close enough. Soon it will be 30%. O’Tool has bet the whole farm on the Liberal vaccine failure, which btw, I again speculate that most of those 23% don’t want anyway. According to the latest Poll only 41% of Canadians would rush out to get it. O’Tool needs to hire… Read more »

Eric Blair

The conservatives need to dump O’Toole and get a woman in his place… at least make Canadian voters, who want a woman as PM, think twice before casting a ballot for Trudeau’s liberals. This would be one way of bringing over those liberals votes they have been hankering after.

Mary Ann A McKinnon

Well I am the outlier here. I like Erin O’Toole. He is punching back at the left when they try to unfairly define him unlike Scheer. I could understand why Sloane was ejected. His views would have become an easy target and a distraction from the CPC message. I am very fond of Poilievre but he is busy with his beautiful wife and new baby. Maybe someday, but in the meantime I would work for O’Toole.

Jai

The Conservative meanwhile may say that their internal polling
tells a different story, well the public does not see internal polling
Angus Reid is a public poll and this is what the media reports, not
their polling. I am disappointed in him so far he is not as aggressive
as he should be. He is allowing Trudeau to just do as he pleases.
I am of the mind not to vote if I don’t it is similar to voting Liberal.

We don’t need another Liberal Lite.

platon

O’Toole must go.

Thomas Tass

Trudeau and Singh are delighted with the news.

RDP

Poilievre is exactly whom Trudeau strategists would want to take over.

Bernier had his chance and proved he simply wasn’t up to the job.

You brush off MacKay now, but mark my words, he’s whom Harper wants in the big race, and Harper has a knack for catching his opponents with their pants down.