Ipsos Poll: Liberals Lead By 1 Point Before Debate

Conservatives lose support in Quebec.

Ahead of tonight’s English language debate, the Liberals have taken a narrow lead in the latest Ipsos poll, conducted for Global News.

Since the last Ipsos poll, the Liberals are up 1 point to 35%, while the Conservatives are down 3 points to 34%.

15% say they’ll vote NDP, while 7% say they’ll vote Green.

The Bloc is also at 7%, while the PPC is at 3%.

The poll has bad news for the Conservatives in Quebec, with the party falling five points following the first French language debate. The Conservatives are now at 19%.

The Liberals have 40% in Quebec, with the Bloc in second place at 30%.

BC and Ontario are both close, while the Conservatives continue to dominate in Alberta and the Prairies.

Trudeau leads on the question of best PM, with 35%, compared to Scheer at 30%. 14% pick Jagmeet Singh, while 12% pick Elizabeth May. Maxime Bernier is at 6%.

As a result, the pressure is high for the upcoming debate, with Trudeau trying to recapture those who voted Liberal in 2015, Scheer seeking to erode Trudeau’s support, Singh trying to translate his rising personal popularity into actual votes, May trying to make good on the so-called ‘momentum’ for the Greens, Bernier seeking to take votes from the Conservatives, and the Bloc candidate attempting to sow chaos among the federalist parties.

Spencer Fernando

Photo – YouTube

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Shawn Harris

It was just a few days ago that Trudeau was considered to be the least popular of the leaders at 25%, now he is at 35%, it doesn’t add up. This poll also stands out as an outlier of polls, as most polls over the last week have had the Conservatives continuing to go up and the Liberals going down in the polls and now, the Liberals have the lead, it reads like Butts did a private poll amongst his friends and then had Ipso sign off on it. Scheer just needs to show Canadians he is a far better… Read more »


PM Blackface leads on who would be the best to lead? What?! Surely these polls are bogus. Didnt pollsters get it wrong in the Ontario and Alberta elections? If Trudeau wins again he will destroy our economy. Maybe it will be time to move to Alberta and become an independent nation.


The polls are meant to influence not inform!!

A. W

The polls are propaganda to influence not inform.