Across the political spectrum, there is widespread agreement that Canada’s immigration levels were too high between 2022 and 2024.
The immigration surge was not accompanied by an equal increase in Canada’s infrastructure and social services, leading to services being overburdened. The economy also could not keep pace, leading to a decline in per capita GDP.
While some (myself included) warned about this when the immigration surge was beginning, few within the political system – in either main party – pushed back strongly at the time, as they saw greater political benefit in taking a supportive approach. For example, at one point the CPC was critical of the Liberal government for deporting international students who had submitted fraudulent documents due to being taken advantage of by dishonest consultants.
As a result, there has been a delayed reaction. When the immigration surge was happening, there was little initial pushback. Now, when it has clearly reversed (Canada’s population is declining), there is pushback.
The reduction in immigration levels shows that our democratic system can be adaptive and responsive. People were concerned; leaders listened, slowly at first, faster later, and policy changed. However, for individuals who want to ride the wave of anger about immigration, it creates a political incentive to pretend that nothing has changed, which can then deepen public anger. And when combined with the rise of hateful and violent rhetoric towards newcomers on social media, this can deepen societal divisions.
That’s why it’s important to acknowledge that Canadian immigration levels are returning to a more sustainable path. Public concerns have been listened to. The numbers are down. The long-term immigration path is returning to a sustainable, historically-grounded level, ensuring Canada can continue welcoming people from around the world to the Canadian family at a reasonable pace. Per capita GDP has stopped falling. Recognizing this reality is an important step in helping to reduce anger and focus on strengthening Canada for years and decades ahead.
Spencer Fernando
Photo by Aleksandr Galenko on Unsplash
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