Canadian Support For More Trade With China Surges

Plurality want trade kept at current level.

U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade war has pushed some Canadians toward China.

A Nanos poll found 31% of Canadians want increased trade with the world’s second-largest economy, up from 7% in June of 2023.

39% want trade kept at the current level, up from 26%.

20% want less trade with China, down from 55%.

A Dramatic Shift

This dramatic shift in Canadian opinion indicates China’s strengthening geopolitical position amid Trump’s tariff war. While global public opinion toward China had hardened in recent years due to the country’s role in the COVID pandemic, the dismantling of Hong Kong’s democracy, and human rights violations, Trump’s trade actions have focused negative attention on the U.S. and away from China.

The erratic nature of U.S. policy has made China appear stable by comparison, and fears of U.S.-caused economic disruptions have renewed interest in China as a trade partner.

China Proposes Cooperation

Chinese Ambassador Wang Di is seizing on this, saying “China is Canada’s opportunity, not Canada’s threat.”

At a time when Canadian public opinion toward the U.S. is negative, China sees an opportunity to pry away one of America’s top allies. Canada possesses many natural resources China needs, and Canadian firms seek new partners.

Reasons for Skepticism

Earlier in 2025, China executed four Canadians on drug-related charges. China has also interfered in Canadian elections and imposed tariffs on “canola oil, canola meal and peas, as well as certain pork, fish and seafood products”, as CFIB policy analyst Juliette Nicolaÿ noted.

While hedging our bets by deepening trade with others is a wise move, overdependence on China is a risk Canada should avoid. Deepening trade with democratic nations and reducing internal trade barriers would be preferable in the long term. Nevertheless, growing support for trade with China reflects the extent to which negative polarization against the U.S. is reshaping Canadian public opinion.

Spencer Fernando

Image – YouTube

If this piece left you clearer than it found you, that's the point. I write for readers who want to think past the week, to see the longer pattern beneath the daily story, and to come away steadier rather than more agitated.

That longer view gets built somewhere. On Patreon, essay by essay, I'm constructing The Long Work, a body of analysis meant to outlast the news cycle that prompted it. The readers there make it possible. No subsidies, no strings. The work answers to them.

$8/month to read it as it's built, and to have a hand in building it.