In late 2024/early 2025, the Australian Liberal-National Coalition (a centre-right/right-wing alliance representing conservatism in Australia) led by 5-10 points over the centre-left Australian Labor Party. In the two-party-preference vote (where last-place candidates are eliminated until a candidate has a majority of votes), the L/NP led by 2-4 points. As in Canada, however, the 'Trump factor' severely damaged the conservative side, leading to a centre-left victory.
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