Angus Reid Poll: Conservatives Expand Lead, Trudeau’s ‘Momentum Score’ At Negative 41 Points

It’s the latest in a growing series of polls showing a small lead for the Conservatives.

In line with the latest surveys, a new Angus Reid poll shows the Conservatives leading the Liberals.

Nationally, the Conservatives have the support of 37% of Canadians, compared to the Liberals at 30%.

The NDP is at 14%, while the Greens are at 8%.

The Bloc has 7% support, and the PPC is last with 3%.

Notably, 88% of respondents who voted Conservative in 2015 plan to vote Conservative again. By contrast, just 60% of those who voted Liberal in 2015 plan to do so again.

The NDP is the top “second choice” for voters, with 31% putting the NDP in that spot. Meanwhile, 21% list the Liberals as their second choice, 23% list the Greens, 11% list the Conservatives, and 8% list the PPC.

The Liberals are steady from the previous Angus Reid poll, which had shown them losing 3 points following Trudeau’s blackface controversy.

The Conservatives are up 2 points.

Provincially, the Conservatives dominate in Alberta, and Saskatchewan & Manitoba. Ontario is close, with the Conservatives leading the Liberals by 5 points, while the Conservatives also lead in BC, where they have a 7 point advantage over the Liberals.

In Quebec, the Liberals lead with 32%, followed by the Bloc at 28%, and the Conservatives at 23%.

In Atlantic Canada, the Conservatives lead within the margin of error, pulling in 40% compared to the Liberals at 39%.

Trudeau’s momentum remains horrendous

Justin Trudeau’s ‘momentum score,’ which is the number of Canadians who say their opinion of him has improved since the start of election minus those who say their opinion of him has worsened has fallen to a staggering Negative 41 points.

PPC Leader Maxime Bernier has the second worst momentum score, at negative 31 points.

Conservative Party Leader Andrew Scheer’s score is negative 14 points, while Green Party Leader Elizabeth May is at negative 9.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh is the only party leader with a positive momentum score, pulling in a plus 12 rating.

We are now seeing multiple polls saying relatively similar things: The Conservatives have a narrow lead.

Of course, with the Liberals desperate to retain power and willing to do and say anything to try and win, there is no room for complacency among Canadians who want to see Trudeau defeated. The election is still close, and nothing is certain at this point.

You can read the full Angus Reid poll here.

Spencer Fernando