Since Pierre Poilievre’s leadership race win, the CPC has surged in the polls while the Liberals continue to struggle.
A new Abacus Data survey shows the Conservatives with their largest lead of any Abacus poll since 2015.
According to the survey, 37% of Canadians would vote Conservative if an election were held today, while 29% would vote Liberal.
18% would vote NDP, while 7% would vote for the Bloc.
Both the Greens and the PPC are at 4%.
Compared to the 2021 election, the Conservatives are up 3 points while the Liberals are down 4 points.
Federal Polling:
CPC: 37% (+3)
LPC: 29% (-4)
NDP: 18% (-)
BQ: 7% (-1)
GPC: 4% (+2)
PPC: 4% (-1)
Others: 1%Abacus Data / January 30, 2023 / n=1227 / Online
(% Change With 2021 Federal Election)
Check out federal details on @338Canada at: https://t.co/kg1xi0UQKn pic.twitter.com/fsPAbjBPlz
— Polling Canada (@CanadianPolling) February 1, 2023
Here are the regional numbers:
British Columbia – CPC 38%, NDP 28%, Liberals 22%
Alberta – CPC 55%, NDP 21%, Liberals 14%
Saskatchewan/Manitoba – CPC 53%, NDP 23%, Liberals 15%
Ontario – CPC 37%, Liberals 35%, NDP 18%
Quebec – Liberals 31%, Bloc 30%, CPC 22%, NDP 10%
Atlantic – Liberals 43%, CPC 37%, NDP 16%
Liberals perceived as out-of-touch
A key reason the Liberals are struggling is the perception that they are out-of-touch with the main concerns facing Canadians.
72% of poll respondents think the Liberals are “not focused enough” on the rising cost of living
70% say the same about the cost of housing, 66% say the same about problems with the healthcare system, and 52% say the same about growing the economy.
And, given that Pierre Poilievre is spending much of his time focused on those issues in Question Period, media interviews, and his social media videos, Canadians are seeing him talking about what concerns them the most.
This ongoing contrast is made even more noticeable by the fact that the Liberals have been trying to demonize anyone who even mentions how tough things are for people right now.
Clearly, the CPC is on the right track under Poilievre’s leadership.
Spencer Fernando
Photo – YouTube