Liberals lead in Montreal, while Conservatives dominate Quebec City.
A new Forum Research poll shows the Conservatives catching up to the Liberals in Quebec.
After surveying 977 people, Forum found that 30% would vote Liberal, while 28% would vote Conservative.
The Bloc are in third with 15%, followed by the Greens at 10% and the NDP at 9%.
The People’s Party is at 4%.
As reported by the Montreal Gazette, “The gap between the Liberals and Conservatives is narrowing in Quebec and that is bad news for the Liberals,” said Lorne Bozinoff, president of Forum Research. “The Liberals need a strong showing in Quebec and Ontario to win government, and a strong Conservative Party and a resurgent Bloc make that much, much more difficult.”
With the Liberals expected to lose seats in Western Canada, they have been counting on offsetting those losses with more seats in Quebec. If that doesn’t happen, then a Liberal majority is highly unlikely, and the Conservatives have a much higher chance of being victorious.
When we look at the regional Quebec breakdowns, the Conservatives lead with 48% in Quebec City, while the Liberals are strongest in Montreal with 41%.
Outside of Quebec City and Montreal, the Conservatives lead by 6%.
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